Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 4, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade 26 Mars

Mali
4 - 0
Congo

Camara (1'), Bilal Toure (11', 40'), Coulibaly (44')
Kouyate (45+1')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Bidounga (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mali and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

Last Six:

Last Game: South Sudan 1-3 Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Congo

Last Six:

Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Congo vs. South Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo	3	3	7
2	Angola	3	1	5
3	Burkina Faso	3	-2	2
4	Cameroon	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
Mali	Draw	Congo
52.29% ( -0.07)	24.1% ( -0.03)	23.62% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.79% (

0.2)

48.21% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.63% (

0.18)

70.37% (

-0.18)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59% (

0.05)

18.41% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.43% (

0.08)

49.56% (

-0.08)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.18% (

0.2)

34.82% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44% (

0.21)

71.56% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Mali 52.28%

Congo 23.62%

Draw 24.09%

Mali	Draw	Congo
1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.28%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.09%	0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 23.62%