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Africa Cup of Nations
Mali national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Congo national football team

Mali
4 - 0
Congo

Camara (1'), Bilal Toure (11', 40'), Coulibaly (44')
Kouyate (45+1')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Bidounga (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mali and Congo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

Last Six:
Last Game: South Sudan 1-3 Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Congo

Last Six:
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Congo vs. South Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mali 2-1 Congo

 While Mali have struggled for results in recent outings, they will fancy their chances against an opposing side who have managed just one win from 11 outings. The Eagles have won four of their last five home matches and we predict they will maintain this fine run and come away with all three points on home turf once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.

Result
MaliDrawCongo
52.29% (-0.073 -0.07) 24.1% (-0.026 -0.03) 23.62% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.189 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.79% (0.2 0.2)48.21% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (0.183 0.18)70.37% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.045999999999992 0.05)18.41% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.43% (0.079000000000001 0.08)49.56% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.18% (0.197 0.2)34.82% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (0.208 0.21)71.56% (-0.208 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Mali 52.28%
    Congo 23.62%
    Draw 24.09%
MaliDrawCongo
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 52.28%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.09%
0-1 @ 6.76% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Mali vs Congo

Mali
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Congo
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 4pm
Mali
0-0
Congo
 Mali win 5-4 on penalties

Ballo (45'), Coulibaly (65'), M (99')

Mouandza Mapata (72')
rhs 2.0
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