Mali vs Congo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Congo win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.