World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 29, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Tunisia
0 - 0
Mali

(Tunisia win 1-0 on aggregate)

Ben Said (90+3')

Kouyate (55'), Bissouma (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

Last Six:

Last Game: Botswana 0-0 Tunisia
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Tunisia vs. Libya
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Mali

Last Six:

Last Game: Mali 4-0 Congo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: South Sudan vs. Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Mali had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Mali win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Mali
41.88%	24.53%	33.59%

Both teams to score 58.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.98%

44.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.6%

66.4%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9%

21.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07%

53.93%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56%

25.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75%

60.25%

Score Analysis

Tunisia 41.88%

Mali 33.59%

Draw 24.53%

Tunisia	Draw	Mali
2-1 @ 8.89% 1-0 @ 8.35% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.88%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.59%