Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals

Jan 29, 2022 at 7pm UK

Burkina Faso
1 - 0
Tunisia

Ouattara (45+3')
Koffi (44'), Tapsoba (67'), Bayala (80'), Bande (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Laidouni (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Burkina Faso and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 42.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 28.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burkina Faso in this match.

Result
Burkina Faso	Draw	Tunisia
42.58%	29.22%	28.19%

Both teams to score 42.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.1%

63.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.89%

83.11%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23%

29.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16%

65.85%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.46%

39.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.78%

76.22%

Score Analysis

Burkina Faso 42.58%

Tunisia 28.19%

Draw 29.22%

Burkina Faso	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 14.26% 2-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 8.02% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.06% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.4% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.22%	0-1 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 6.14% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.45% Total : 28.19%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Tunisia

Burkina Faso

24.8%

Draw

16.8%

Tunisia

58.4%