Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 13, 2022 at 7pm UK

Cape Verde
0 - 1
Burkina Faso

Tavares (36'), Fortes (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bande (39')
Toure (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cape Verde and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cape Verde

All competitions

Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Cape Verde
Monday, November 17 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Burkina Faso

All competitions

Last Game: Sudan 0-2 Burkina Faso
Wednesday, December 31 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 46%. A win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burkina Faso win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Cape Verde	Draw	Burkina Faso
46%	25.18%	28.81%

Both teams to score 54.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14%

48.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.04%

70.96%

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74%

21.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82%

54.18%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02%

30.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.72%

67.28%

Score Analysis

Cape Verde 46%

Burkina Faso 28.81%

Draw 25.17%

Cape Verde	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.51% Total : 46%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.81%