Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 9, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo, Yaounde

Cameroon
2 - 1
Burkina Faso

Aboubakar (40' pen., 45+3' pen.)
Onguene (42')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Sangare (24')
Yago (1'), Malo (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cameroon and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result
Cameroon	Draw	Burkina Faso
53.64%	26.29%	20.07%

Both teams to score 42.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.13%

59.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.86%

80.14%

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5%

22.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.94%

56.06%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.99%

45.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.06%

80.94%

Score Analysis

Cameroon 53.63%

Burkina Faso 20.07%

Draw 26.27%

Cameroon	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.1% 2-0 @ 11.26% 2-1 @ 8.99% 3-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 4.47% 4-0 @ 2.09% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.66% Total : 53.63%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.51% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 8.08% 1-2 @ 4.81% 0-2 @ 3.23% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.07%

How you voted: Cameroon vs Burkina Faso

Cameroon

72.9%

Draw

15.3%

Burkina Faso

11.9%