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World Cup

Cape Verde national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 13, 2021 at 4pm UK
 
Central African Republic national football team

Cape Verde
2 - 1
CAR

Tavares (51'), Stopira (75')
Borges (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ngoma (11')
Ngam Ngam (38'), Ban (53'), Samolah (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Cape Verde and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cape Verde in this match.

Result
Cape VerdeDrawCentral African Republic
44.1%24.3%31.6%
Both teams to score 58.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.41%43.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.01%65.98%
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07%19.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.93%52.07%
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57%26.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39%61.6%
Score Analysis
    Cape Verde 44.1%
    Central African Republic 31.6%
    Draw 24.29%
Cape VerdeDrawCentral African Republic
2-1 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 3.26%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3%
Total : 44.1%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-1 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.07%
1-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31.6%

How you voted: Cape Verde vs CAR

Cape Verde
70.6%
Draw
17.6%
Central African Republic
11.8%
17