World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 10, 2021 at 2pm UK

CAR
0 - 2
Nigeria

Niamathe (22'), Goapandjia (24'), Ngoma (45')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Balogun (29'), Osimhen (45+1')
Onyekuru (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Central African Republic and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
Central African Republic	Draw	Nigeria
36.49%	25.91%	37.6%

Both teams to score 54.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.22%

49.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.22%

71.78%

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.54%

26.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.36%

61.64%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16%

25.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.2%

60.79%

Score Analysis

Central African Republic 36.49%

Nigeria 37.6%

Draw 25.91%

Central African Republic	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 9.09% 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.22% Total : 36.49%	1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.91%	0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.5% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.6%

How you voted: CAR vs Nigeria

Central African Republic

9.7%

Draw

19.4%

Nigeria

71.0%