Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.22% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%) , while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood.