Algeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 28, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 
Burkina Faso national football team

Algeria
vs.
Burkina Faso

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Algeria and Burkina Faso.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-2 Algeria
Tuesday, November 18 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Algeria vs. Sudan
Wednesday, December 24 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Last Game: Burkina Faso 3-0 Benin
Tuesday, November 18 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Burkina Faso vs. Eq Guinea
Wednesday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Algeria win with a probability of 46.96%. A draw has a probability of 27.58% and a win for Burkina Faso has a probability of 25.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Algeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.79%) , while for a Burkina Faso win it is 0-1 (9.38%).

Result
AlgeriaDrawBurkina Faso
46.96% (-0.28 -0.28)27.58% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)25.46% (0.275 0.27)
Both teams to score 44.91% (0.19799999999999 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.09% (0.14 0.14)59.91% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.83% (0.108 0.11)80.17% (-0.104 -0.1)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)25.58% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.102 -0.1)60.45% (0.105 0.11)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.35% (0.327 0.33)39.65% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.67% (0.301 0.3)76.33% (-0.297 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Algeria 46.96%
    Burkina Faso 25.46%
    Draw 27.58%
AlgeriaDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 13.82% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 46.96%
1-1 @ 12.79% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.14% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 25.46%

Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 2pm
Group Stage
Algeria
2-2
Burkina Faso
Bounedjah (51', 90+5')
Bensebaini (53'), Bounedjah (90+6')
Konate (45+3'), Traore (71' pen.)
Nagalo (17'), Sangare (23'), Konate (62'), Djiga (90+2'), Toure (90+8')
Nov 16, 2021 4pm
Second Round
Algeria
2-2
Burkina Faso
Mahrez (21'), Feghouli (68')
Sanogo (37'), Dayo (84' pen.)
Sep 7, 2021 8pm
Second Round
Burkina Faso
1-1
Algeria
Tapsoba (64')
Tapsoba (15'), Sangare (75')
Feghouli (18')
Bensebaini (22')