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Africa Cup of Nations

Burkina Faso national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 17, 2022 at 4pm UK
 
Ethiopia national football team

Burkina Faso
1 - 1
Ethiopia

Bayala (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kebede (52' pen.)
Endashaw (36'), Kebede (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Burkina Faso and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.72%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Burkina FasoDrawEthiopia
50.1%28.65%21.24%
Both teams to score 38.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34%66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.42%84.58%
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13%26.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82%62.18%
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.64%47.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.25%82.75%
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 50.09%
    Ethiopia 21.25%
    Draw 28.64%
Burkina FasoDrawEthiopia
1-0 @ 16.72%
2-0 @ 10.98%
2-1 @ 8.21%
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 3.6%
4-0 @ 1.58%
3-2 @ 1.35%
4-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 50.09%
0-0 @ 12.72%
1-1 @ 12.49%
2-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 3.56%
1-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia

Burkina Faso
76.7%
Draw
13.7%
Ethiopia
9.6%
73