Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 20, 2022 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Massadio Haidara 2' goal
  • Ibrahima Kone 49' goal
  • Yves Bissouma 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aly Abeid 48'
  • yellowcard Idrissa Thiam 78'

Mali vs Mauritania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 16, 2022 1.00pm
Gambia 1 - 1 Mali

Mauritania

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 16, 2022 4.00pm
Tunisia 4 - 0 Mauritania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 21.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mali in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mali.

Result

Mali 57.56%
Draw 21.41%
Mauritania 21.02%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.65%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.69%
Under 2.5 39.31%
Over 3.5 38.35%
Under 3.5 61.64%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 86.53%
Under 0.5 13.46%
Over 1.5 59.53%
Under 1.5 40.46%

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5 67.77%
Under 0.5 32.22%
Over 1.5 31.28%
Under 1.5 68.71%

Score analysis

Mali 57.56%
Draw 21.41%
Mauritania 21.02%
Mali
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 8.72%
1-0 @ 8.7%
3-1 @ 6.6%
3-0 @ 5.83%
3-2 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 3.31%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-2 @ 1.87%
5-1 @ 1.33%
5-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 57.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.85%
2-2 @ 5.59%
0-0 @ 4.34%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.41%
Mauritania
1-2 @ 5.58%
0-1 @ 4.91%
0-2 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.11%
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 21.02%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jun 24, 2019 9.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Suez Stadium
  • Moussa Djenepo 31' yellowcard
  • Abdoulay Diaby 37' goal
  • Moussa Marega 45' goal
  • Adama Traore 55' goal
  • Mamadou Fofana 71' yellowcard
  • Adama Traore 74' goal
  • yellowcard Bakary N'Diaye 19'
  • goal Moctar El Hacen 72'
  • yellowcard Brahim Souleymane 79'
  • yellowcard Moustapha Diaw 84'