Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 20, 2022 at 7pm UK

Mali
2 - 0
Mauritania

Haidara (2'), Kone (49' pen.)
Bissouma (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Abeid (48'), Thiam (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Mali and Mauritania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 21.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Mali in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mali.

Result
Mali	Draw	Mauritania
57.56%	21.41%	21.02%

Both teams to score 58.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.69%

39.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.35%

61.64%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53%

13.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.53%

40.46%

Mauritania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77%

32.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28%

68.71%

Score Analysis

Mali 57.56%

Mauritania 21.02%

Draw 21.41%

Mali	Draw	Mauritania
2-1 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 8.72% 1-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 6.6% 3-0 @ 5.83% 3-2 @ 3.74% 4-1 @ 3.31% 4-0 @ 2.92% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.49% Total : 57.56%	1-1 @ 9.85% 2-2 @ 5.59% 0-0 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.41%	1-2 @ 5.58% 0-1 @ 4.91% 0-2 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.47% Total : 21.02%