Africa Cup of Nations
Mali
Jan 26, 2022 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET
Eq Guinea
  • Moussa Doumbia 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Salvador 23'
  • yellowcard Josete Miranda 32'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ganet 43'
  • yellowcard Federico Bikoro 74'

Mali vs Equatorial Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Equatorial Guinea win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%).

Result

Mali 46.37%
Draw 23.58%
Equatorial Guinea 30.05%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.62%

Goals

Over 2.5 59.02%
Under 2.5 40.98%
Over 3.5 36.63%
Under 3.5 63.37%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 82.07%
Under 0.5 17.93%
Over 1.5 51.25%
Under 1.5 48.75%

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 73.87%
Under 0.5 26.13%
Over 1.5 38.8%
Under 1.5 61.2%

Score analysis

Mali 46.37%
Draw 23.57%
Equatorial Guinea 30.05%
Mali
2-1 @ 9.29%
1-0 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 3.96%
3-2 @ 3.57%
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 46.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 4.69%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.57%
Equatorial Guinea
1-2 @ 7.25%
0-1 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 4.22%
1-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 30.05%

Form Data

Mali 2 - 0 Mauritania
Gambia 1 - 1 Mali
Tunisia 0 - 1 Mali
Mali 1 - 0 Uganda
Rwanda 0 - 3 Mali
Kenya 0 - 1 Mali
Sierra Leone 0 - 1 Eq Guinea
Algeria 0 - 1 Eq Guinea
Eq Guinea 0 - 1 Ivory Coast
Mauritania 1 - 1 Eq Guinea
Eq Guinea 1 - 0 Tunisia
Zambia 1 - 1 Eq Guinea