/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmallog_2.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ftunlog.png)
-
Moussa Sissako
40'
-
Boubakar Kouyate
90'+2'
-
Moussa Sissako
36'
(OG)
-
Seifeddine Jaziri
49'
-
Nader Ghandri
55'
Mali vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F03%2Fmohamed-magassouba.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result
Mali
55.08%
Draw
24.09%
Tunisia
20.83%
Both Teams to Score:
49.64%
Goals
Over 2.5
48.87%
Under 2.5
51.13%
Over 3.5
27.02%
Under 3.5
72.98%
Mali Goals
Over 0.5
81.55%
Under 0.5
18.45%
Over 1.5
50.37%
Under 1.5
49.63%
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5
60.86%
Under 0.5
39.14%
Over 1.5
24.15%
Under 1.5
75.85%
Score analysis
Mali
55.08%
Draw
24.08%
Tunisia
20.83%
Mali
1-0
@
12.2%
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.08%
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 5.45%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.08%
Draw
1-1
@
11.44%
0-0 @ 7.22%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.08%
0-0 @ 7.22%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.08%
Tunisia
0-1
@
6.77%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 20.83%