World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 1st Leg

Mar 25, 2022 at 5pm UK

Mali
0 - 1
Tunisia

(Tunisia win 1-0 on aggregate)

Kouyate (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sissako (36' og.)
Jaziri (49'), Ghandri (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

Last Six:

Last Game: Mali 4-0 Congo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: South Sudan vs. Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Tunisia

Last Six:

Last Game: Botswana 0-0 Tunisia
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Tunisia vs. Libya
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	3	7
2	Gambia	3	2	7
3	Tunisia	3	2	3
4	Mauritania	3	-7	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Mali	Draw	Tunisia
55.08%	24.09%	20.83%

Both teams to score 49.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87%

51.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02%

72.98%

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.55%

18.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.37%

49.63%

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.86%

39.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15%

75.85%

Score Analysis

Mali 55.08%

Tunisia 20.83%

Draw 24.08%

Mali	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 5.45% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.23% Total : 55.08%	1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.08%	0-1 @ 6.77% 1-2 @ 5.37% 0-2 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.42% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.42% Total : 20.83%