Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mali2 - 0Gambia
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Mali and Gambia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mauritania 1-0 Mali
Tuesday, January 24 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
Tuesday, January 24 at 4pm in African Nations Championship
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Gambia
Sunday, November 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, November 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.03%) and 3-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.97%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mali would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mali | Draw | Gambia |
63.81% ( 0.01) | 25.35% ( 0.12) | 10.85% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 28.42% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
