African Nations Championship
Jan 16, 2023 4.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT New Suez Stadium
  • Hamidou Sinayoko 23' goal
  • Yoro Diaby 78' goal
  • Ousmane Coulibaly 83' goal
  • goal Depu 12'
  • goal Depu 26'
  • goal Gilberto 72'

Mali vs Angola - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

Angola

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Angola had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.31%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Mali 56.29% (+0.40)
Draw 26.91% (-0.20)
Angola 16.8% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.56% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 34.89% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 65.11% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 16.03% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 83.96% (-0.24)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 76.38% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 23.62% (-0.33)
Over 1.5 42.3% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 57.7% (-0.47)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5 47.87% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 52.13% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 13.91% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 86.09% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Mali 56.28%
Draw 26.9%
Angola 16.8%
Mali
1-0 @ 17.76% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 12.82% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.35% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.17% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.02% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.23% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.45% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 56.28%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.31% (-0.16)
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 2.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 26.9%
Angola
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 16.8%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jul 2, 2019 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Ismailia Stadium, Ismailia
  • Bruno Gaspar 29' yellowcard
  • Herenilson 80' yellowcard
  • Bastos 92' yellowcard
  • goal Amadou Haidara 37'
  • yellowcard Djigui Diarra 69'