Mali national football team
International Friendly
Sep 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Zambia national football team

Mali
0 - 0
Zambia

susp.

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's International Friendlies clash between Mali and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Zambia
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Zambia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 1-0 Zambia
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 17.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.02%).

Result
MaliDrawZambia
57.69% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)24.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)17.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.32% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)56.94% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15% (-0.029 -0.03)77.85% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (-0.012 -0.01)19.66% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)51.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.92% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)46.08% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.22% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)81.78% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mali 57.68%
    Zambia 17.69%
    Draw 24.61%
MaliDrawZambia
1-0 @ 14.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 57.68%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 9.06% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-2 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 17.69%

How you voted: Mali vs Zambia

Mali
72.4%
Draw
10.3%
Zambia
17.2%
29
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2022 8pm
Mali
1-0
Zambia
Bilal Toure (6')