Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 3, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ibrahim Sangare 45' yellowcard
  • Serge Aurier 67' goal
  • Christian Kouame 76' goal
  • Willy Boly 81' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Sangare 89' goal
  • yellowcard Enock Mwepu 75'
  • yellowcard Fashion Sakala 81'
  • goal Patson Daka 90'+4'

Ivory Coast vs Zambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Zambia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result

Ivory Coast 61.35% (-0.01)
Draw 23.67% (-0.01)
Zambia 14.98% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.71% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.5% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.5% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 21.7% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 78.29% (-0.03)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 81.5% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 18.5% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.29% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 49.71% (-0.02)

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 49.95% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 50.05% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 15.31% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 84.69% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 61.35%
Draw 23.67%
Zambia 14.98%
Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 15.62% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 13.18% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.42% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.13% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 61.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81%
0-0 @ 9.26% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 23.67%
Zambia
0-1 @ 6.41%
1-2 @ 3.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 14.98%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 19, 2019 1.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Fashion Sakala 13' goal
  • goal Jonathan Kodjia 29'
  • goal Jean Michael Seri 41'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 51'
  • goal Maxwel Cornet 57'
  • goal Wilfried Bony 84'
African Nations Championship
Jan 18, 2018 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kouame Yao 69' yellowcard
  • goal Augustine Mulenga 8'
  • yellowcard Simon Silwimba 71'
  • goal Augustine Mulenga 74'