England
3 - 0
Ivory Coast

Watkins (30'), Sterling (45'), Mings (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Aurier (32'), Michael Seri (33')
Aurier (40')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

England

Last Six:

Last Game: Germany 1-1 England
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	2	1	4
2	Hungary	2	0	3
3	Germany	2	0	2
4	England	2	-1	1

Ivory Coast

Last Six:

Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Zambia
Friday, June 3 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Lesotho vs. Ivory Coast
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
England	Draw	Ivory Coast
60.42%	23.72%	15.86%

Both teams to score 42.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.67%

56.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.64%

77.36%

England Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.6%

18.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.45%

49.55%

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.9%

48.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.7%

83.3%

Score Analysis

England 60.42%

Ivory Coast 15.86%

Draw 23.71%

England	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 14.98% 2-0 @ 12.68% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 5.24% 4-0 @ 3.03% 4-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.92% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.9% Total : 60.42%	1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 3.4% Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.71%	0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 4.01% 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.02% Total : 15.86%