COSAFA Cup
Jul 15, 2022 6.00pm
4
3
HT : 2 1
FT Moses Mabhida Stadium
  • Kelvin Kampamba 18' goal
  • Spencer Sautu 36' goal
  • Luka Chamanga 43' yellowcard
  • Spencer Sautu 56' yellowcard
  • Ricky Banda 58' goal
  • Kelvin Kampamba 64' goal
  • Albert Kangwanda 83' yellowcard
  • goal Lamine Camara 23'
  • yellowcard Aime Tendeng 49'
  • goal Jean Diouf 73'
  • goal Moussa Ndiaye 90'

Zambia vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Zambia

All competitions

Senegal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 47.48%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result

Zambia 26.53%
Draw 25.99%
Senegal 47.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.19%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.48%
Under 2.5 53.52%
Over 3.5 24.96%
Under 3.5 75.03%

Zambia Goals

Over 0.5 64.79%
Under 0.5 35.21%
Over 1.5 28.04%
Under 1.5 71.96%

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 77.46%
Under 0.5 22.54%
Over 1.5 43.88%
Under 1.5 56.12%

Score analysis

Zambia 26.53%
Draw 25.99%
Senegal 47.48%
Zambia
1-0 @ 8.29%
2-1 @ 6.44%
2-0 @ 4.32%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 26.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.99%
Senegal
0-1 @ 11.82%
1-2 @ 9.19%
0-2 @ 8.81%
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 4.37%
2-3 @ 2.38%
1-4 @ 1.7%
0-4 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3%
Total : 47.48%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT TBC
  • Sadio Mane 21' goal
  • Krepin Diatta 31' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 44' goal
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Prosper Chiluya 47'
  • goal Dominic Chanda 54'