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Zambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
National Heroes Stadium
Comoros national football team

Zambia
2 - 1
Comoros

Mwepu (45+2'), Kangwa (88')
Mwape (2'), Mayembe (67'), Kangwa (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fardou Ben (13')
M'Dahoma (40'), Zahary (45'), Mohamed (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Zambia and Comoros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Zambia vs. Lesotho
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Six:
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Ivory Coast vs. Comoros
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We said: Zambia 2-1 Comoros

Having suffered defeat in their opening fixture, the onus is more on Zambia to take control of proceedings and grab the game by the scruff of its neck. We are tipping them to come out on top, albeit by only a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Comoros win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Zambia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Zambia.

Result
ZambiaDrawComoros
39.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 34.17% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 52.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)51.89% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (-0.02 -0.02)73.64% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)25.78% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)60.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)28.87% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)64.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Zambia 39.47%
    Comoros 34.17%
    Draw 26.35%
ZambiaDrawComoros
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.47%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.17%

How you voted: Zambia vs Comoros

Zambia
70.8%
Draw
15.4%
Comoros
13.8%
65
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
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