Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations

Comoros national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 3, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de Moroni
Lesotho national football team

Comoros
2 - 0
Lesotho

M'Changama (59'), Youssouf (81')
Fardou Ben (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mkwanazi (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Comoros and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

Last Six:
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Comoros
Tuesday, June 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Ivory Coast vs. Comoros
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 0-0 Ivory Coast
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Zambia vs. Lesotho
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.

Result
ComorosDrawLesotho
45.96% (0.027000000000001 0.03)22.89% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)31.15% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 63.76% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (0.056999999999995 0.06)37.12% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.69% (0.062000000000005 0.06)59.32% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Comoros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (0.033000000000001 0.03)16.59% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (0.055999999999997 0.06)46.4% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (0.022999999999996 0.02)23.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.39% (0.032000000000004 0.03)57.61% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Comoros 45.96%
    Lesotho 31.15%
    Draw 22.89%
ComorosDrawLesotho
2-1 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 45.96%
1-1 @ 10.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.15%

How you voted: Comoros vs Lesotho

Comoros
75.9%
Draw
17.2%
Lesotho
6.9%
29