Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 3, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de Moroni
  • El Fardou Ben 51' yellowcard
  • Youssouf M'Changama 59' goal
  • Benjaloud Youssouf 81' goal
  • yellowcard Motlomelo Mkwanazi 20'

Comoros vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

Lesotho

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.

Result

Comoros 45.96% (+0.03)
Draw 22.89% (-0.02)
Lesotho 31.15% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.76% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.88% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 37.12% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 40.69% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 59.32% (-0.06)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5 83.41% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 16.59% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 53.6% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 46.4% (-0.06)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 76.45% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 23.55% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 42.39% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.61% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Comoros 45.96%
Draw 22.89%
Lesotho 31.15%
Comoros
2-1 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.95% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.77% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.45% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 45.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.15% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.59% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.9% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.89%
Lesotho
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.54% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.15%