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Ethiopia vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result
Ethiopia
41.99%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
23.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Lesotho
34.52%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
62.94%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.23%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
38.77%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
38.92%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
61.08%
▲
(+0.04)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5
81.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
18.85%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
49.69%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
50.31%
▲
(+0.04)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5
77.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
22.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
44.03%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
55.97%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Ethiopia
41.99%
Draw
23.48%
Lesotho
34.52%
Ethiopia
2-1
@
8.8%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 41.99%
1-0 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 41.99%
Draw
1-1
@
10.54%
2-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.48%
2-2 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.48%
Lesotho
1-2
@
7.88%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 34.52%
0-1 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 34.52%