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Africa Cup of Nations

Cameroon national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 13, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade Ahmadou Ahidjo, Yaounde
Ethiopia national football team

Cameroon
4 - 1
Ethiopia

Toko Ekambi (8', 67'), Aboubakar (53', 55')
Hongla (7'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (7'), Onana (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hotessa (4')
Dagnachew (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Cameroon and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 63.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.71%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.66%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result
CameroonDrawEthiopia
63.86%23.61%12.52%
Both teams to score 35.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.75%61.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.82%81.18%
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01%18.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.46%50.54%
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.84%56.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.43%88.57%
Score Analysis
    Cameroon 63.85%
    Ethiopia 12.53%
    Draw 23.61%
CameroonDrawEthiopia
1-0 @ 17.71%
2-0 @ 14.71%
2-1 @ 8.49%
3-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 4.7%
4-0 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 63.85%
0-0 @ 10.66%
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.61%
0-1 @ 6.15%
1-2 @ 2.95%
0-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 12.53%

How you voted: Cameroon vs Ethiopia

Cameroon
81.8%
Draw
4.4%
Ethiopia
13.8%
181
rhs 2.0


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