Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 13, 2022 4.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Martin Hongla 7' yellowcard
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 7' yellowcard
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 8' goal
  • Vincent Aboubakar 53' goal
  • Vincent Aboubakar 55' goal
  • Karl Toko Ekambi 67' goal
  • Andre Onana 88' yellowcard
  • goal Dawa Hotessa 4'
  • yellowcard Surafel Dagnachew 15'

Cameroon vs Ethiopia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cameroon

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 9, 2022 4.00pm
Cameroon 2 - 1 Burkina Faso

Ethiopia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Jan 9, 2022 7.00pm
Ethiopia 0 - 1 Cape Verde

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 63.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.71%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.66%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result

Cameroon 63.86%
Draw 23.61%
Ethiopia 12.52%

Both Teams to Score: 

35.51%

Goals

Over 2.5 38.75%
Under 2.5 61.25%
Over 3.5 18.82%
Under 3.5 81.18%

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5 81.01%
Under 0.5 18.99%
Over 1.5 49.46%
Under 1.5 50.54%

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5 43.84%
Under 0.5 56.16%
Over 1.5 11.43%
Under 1.5 88.57%

Score analysis

Cameroon 63.85%
Draw 23.61%
Ethiopia 12.53%
Cameroon
1-0 @ 17.71%
2-0 @ 14.71%
2-1 @ 8.49%
3-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 4.7%
4-0 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 63.85%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.66%
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 2.45%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.61%
Ethiopia
0-1 @ 6.15%
1-2 @ 2.95%
0-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 12.53%