Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.