Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christian Kouame 29' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 61' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 89' goal
  • goal Ibroihim Youssouf 90'+3'

Ivory Coast vs Comoros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 9, 2022 6.00pm
Lesotho 0 - 0 Ivory Coast

Comoros

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 7, 2022 5.00pm
Zambia 2 - 1 Comoros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result

Ivory Coast 64.74% (+0.35)
Draw 20.9% (-0.16)
Comoros 14.36% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.95% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.79% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 48.21% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 29.63% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 70.36% (-0.24)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 85.85% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 14.15% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 58.19% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 41.81% (-0.38)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5 54.69% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 45.31% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 18.82% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 81.18% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Ivory Coast 64.72%
Draw 20.9%
Comoros 14.36%
Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 12.53% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 12.25% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.99% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.33% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.91% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.09% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.53% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.21% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 64.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 20.9%
Comoros
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 14.36%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2019 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Wilfried Bony 40' goal
  • Wilfried Bony 59' goal
  • Kassim Abdallah 90' goal
  • goal Youssouf M'Changama 94'