Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.