Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 9, 2022 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Volkswagen Dobsonville Stadium
  • Lisema Lebokollane 38' yellowcard

Lesotho vs Ivory Coast - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 3, 2022 2.00pm
Comoros 2 - 0 Lesotho

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Jun 3, 2022 8.00pm
Ivory Coast 3 - 1 Zambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Lesotho 29.74% (-0.02)
Draw 26.52% (+0.01)
Ivory Coast 43.74% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.71% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.16% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 53.84% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 24.69% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 75.31% (+0.03)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 67.13% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.87% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 30.56% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.44% (+0.03)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5 75.55% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.45% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 41.11% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 58.89% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lesotho 29.74%
Draw 26.51%
Ivory Coast 43.74%
Lesotho
1-0 @ 8.94% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.04% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.51%
Ivory Coast
0-1 @ 11.32% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.97% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.74% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 43.74%