African Nations Championship | Quarter-Finals

Jan 27, 2023 at 4pm UK

Algeria
1 - 0
Ivory Coast

Mahious (90+6' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's African Nations Championship clash between Algeria and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Mozambique 0-1 Algeria
Saturday, January 21 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Ivory Coast

All competitions

African Nations Championship

Last Game: Uganda 1-3 Ivory Coast
Sunday, January 22 at 7pm in African Nations Championship

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Ivory Coast win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Ivory Coast
46.15% ( -0.36)	28.52% ( 0.27)	25.33% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 42.42% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.97% (

-0.79)

63.03% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.51% (

-0.57)

82.49% (

0.57)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56% (

-0.55)

27.44% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.08% (

-0.72)

62.92% (

0.72)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.46% (

-0.37)

41.54% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.97% (

-0.32)

78.03% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Algeria 46.15%

Ivory Coast 25.32%

Draw 28.51%

Algeria	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 14.74% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.71% Total : 46.15%	1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.51%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.2% Total : 25.32%