African Nations Championship | Group Stage

Jan 13, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade Mustapha Tchaker

Algeria
1 - 0
Libya

Mahious (57' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's African Nations Championship clash between Algeria and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

Last Game: Algeria 2-2 Senegal
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Libya

All competitions

Last Game: Libya 2-1 Tanzania
Tuesday, September 27 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 74.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Libya had a probability of 6.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.93%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.28%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Libya
74.81% ( 0.16)	18.44% ( 0.05)	6.74% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 28.99% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.42% (

-0.75)

57.57% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65% (

-0.6)

78.35% (

0.6)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.99% (

-0.19)

14% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.47% (

-0.37)

41.53% (

0.37)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.71% (

-1)

66.29% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.45% (

-0.42)

93.54% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Algeria 74.8%

Libya 6.74%

Draw 18.44%

Algeria	Draw	Libya
1-0 @ 18.25% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 17.93% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 74.8%	0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.26) 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.44%	0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.39% Total : 6.74%