African Nations Championship
Jan 13, 2023 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Mustapha Tchaker
  • Aymen Mahious 57' goal

Algeria vs Libya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

Libya

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 74.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Libya had a probability of 6.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.93%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.28%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.

Result

Algeria 74.81% (+0.16)
Draw 18.44% (+0.05)
Libya 6.74% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

28.99% (-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.42% (-0.75)
Under 2.5 57.57% (+0.75)
Over 3.5 21.65% (-0.60)
Under 3.5 78.35% (+0.60)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5 85.99% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 14% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 58.47% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 41.53% (+0.37)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5 33.71% (-1.00)
Under 0.5 66.29% (+1.00)
Over 1.5 6.45% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 93.54% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Algeria 74.8%
Draw 18.44%
Libya 6.74%
Algeria
1-0 @ 18.25% (+0.40)
2-0 @ 17.93% (+0.26)
3-0 @ 11.75% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.16)
4-0 @ 5.78% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.14)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.09)
5-0 @ 2.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 74.8%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.28% (+0.27)
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 1.52% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.44%
Libya
0-1 @ 3.82% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 1.54% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 6.74%