International Friendly

Sep 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Olympique de Radès

Algeria
2 - 1
Nigeria

Mahrez (41' pen.), Atal (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moffi (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Algeria and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Algeria 1-0 Guinea
Friday, September 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ivory Coast	3	3	7
2	Equatorial Guinea	3	1	6
3	Sierra Leone	3	-1	2
4	Algeria	3	-3	1

Nigeria

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Sao Tome 0-10 Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Algeria in this match.

Result
Algeria	Draw	Nigeria
41.13% ( 0.04)	24.65% ( 0.07)	34.22% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 58.62% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.62% (

-0.33)

44.38% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.25% (

-0.32)

66.75% (

0.33)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4% (

-0.12)

21.61% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.29% (

-0.19)

54.71% (

0.2)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

-0.22)

25.23% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03% (

-0.3)

59.97% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Algeria 41.13%

Nigeria 34.22%

Draw 24.65%

Algeria	Draw	Nigeria
2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 41.13%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65%	1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.22%