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World Cup
Nigeria national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 29, 2022 at 6pm UK
 
Ghana national football team

Nigeria
1 - 1
Ghana

Troost-Ekong (22' pen.)
Shehu (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Partey (10')
Amartey (26'), Afena-Gyan (84'), Partey (84'), Wollacott (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Nigeria and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

Last Six:
Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Nigeria
Friday, June 3 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Nigeria vs. Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Ghana

Last Six:
Last Game: CAR 1-1 Ghana
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Ghana vs. Angola
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We said: Nigeria 1-0 Ghana

 Nigeria will be counting on the support of their home crowd as they take on their close rivals Ghana for a place in Qatar. On paper, Nigeria head into the game as favourites to come away with the results as they boast a plethora of world-class talents across all department of the pitch. While we expect the Black Stars to cause an upset, we are tipping Nigeria to come away with the win, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Ghana had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Ghana win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
NigeriaDrawGhana
42.51%27.05%30.44%
Both teams to score 49.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.38%55.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22%76.78%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12%25.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14%60.86%
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72%33.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1%69.9%
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 42.51%
    Ghana 30.44%
    Draw 27.04%
NigeriaDrawGhana
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 7.87%
3-1 @ 3.9%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 42.51%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.61%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.47%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.44%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Ghana

Nigeria
46.2%
Draw
15.4%
Ghana
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2022 7.30pm
Ghana
0-0
Nigeria

Djiku (62')

Etebo (77')
Jan 29, 2014 6.30pm
Nigeria
0-0
Ghana
 Ghana win 4-1 on penalties

Adusei (15'), Ainooson (45'), Opoku (62')
Adusei (64')
> Match Report
Feb 10, 2013 6pm
Nigeria
1-0
Ghana
Mba
> Match Report
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