World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 2nd Leg

Mar 29, 2022 at 6pm UK

Nigeria
1 - 1
Ghana

(1-1 on aggregate)

Troost-Ekong (22' pen.)
Shehu (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Partey (10')
Amartey (26'), Afena-Gyan (84'), Partey (84'), Wollacott (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Nigeria and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Nigeria
Friday, June 3 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Nigeria vs. Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Ghana

Last Six:

Last Game: CAR 1-1 Ghana
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ghana vs. Angola
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Ghana had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Ghana win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Ghana
42.51%	27.05%	30.44%

Both teams to score 49.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.38%

55.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22%

76.78%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.12%

25.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.14%

60.86%

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.72%

33.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.1%

69.9%

Score Analysis

Nigeria 42.51%

Ghana 30.44%

Draw 27.04%

Nigeria	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.51%	1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.61% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.44%