/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fniglog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fsudlog.png)
-
Samuel Chukwueze
3'
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Taiwo Awoniyi
45'
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Moses Simon
46'
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Ola Aina
69'
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Walieldin Khidir Safour Daiyeen
70'
Nigeria vs Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
Result
Nigeria
59.46%
Draw
23.9%
Sudan
16.64%
Both Teams to Score:
43.35%
Goals
Over 2.5
44.16%
Under 2.5
55.84%
Over 3.5
23.04%
Under 3.5
76.96%
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
81.43%
Under 0.5
18.57%
Over 1.5
50.17%
Under 1.5
49.83%
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5
53.23%
Under 0.5
46.77%
Over 1.5
17.69%
Under 1.5
82.31%
Score analysis
Nigeria
59.45%
Draw
23.9%
Sudan
16.64%
Nigeria
1-0
@
14.62%
2-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.25%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 59.45%
2-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 5.25%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 59.45%
Draw
1-1
@
11.11%
0-0 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 23.9%
0-0 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 23.9%
Sudan
0-1
@
6.6%
1-2 @ 4.22%
0-2 @ 2.51%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 16.64%
1-2 @ 4.22%
0-2 @ 2.51%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 16.64%