World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Third Round | 1st Leg

Mar 25, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Ghana
0 - 0
Nigeria

(1-1 on aggregate)

Djiku (62')

Etebo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Ghana and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

Last Six:

Last Game: CAR 1-1 Ghana
Sunday, June 5 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Ghana vs. Angola
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Nigeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Ecuador 1-0 Nigeria
Friday, June 3 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Nigeria vs. Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Ghana had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Ghana win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Ghana	Draw	Nigeria
32.69%	23.26%	44.05%

Both teams to score 63.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.78%

38.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.51%

60.49%

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.81%

23.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.92%

57.08%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23%

17.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.53%

48.47%

Score Analysis

Ghana 32.69%

Nigeria 44.06%

Draw 23.25%

Ghana	Draw	Nigeria
2-1 @ 7.6% 1-0 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 4.4% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.69%	1-1 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 6.57% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.25%	1-2 @ 8.99% 0-1 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.78% 0-3 @ 3.54% 1-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.9% Total : 44.06%