Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Ghana had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Ghana win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.