Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 1, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mohammed Kudus 53' goal
  • Felix Afena-Gyan 56' goal
  • Osman Bukari 86' goal
  • Daniel Amartey 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jerome Mombris 65'

Ghana vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions

Madagascar

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 24.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result

Ghana 51.11%
Draw 24.86%
Madagascar 24.02%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.26%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.03%
Under 2.5 50.97%
Over 3.5 27.16%
Under 3.5 72.84%

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 80.06%
Under 0.5 19.94%
Over 1.5 47.91%
Under 1.5 52.08%

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 64.02%
Under 0.5 35.97%
Over 1.5 27.24%
Under 1.5 72.75%

Score analysis

Ghana 51.11%
Draw 24.86%
Madagascar 24.02%
Ghana
1-0 @ 11.56%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 9.33%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-0 @ 5.01%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 51.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.86%
Madagascar
0-1 @ 7.33%
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.75%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 24.02%