World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Sep 7, 2021 at 2pm UK

Tanzania
3 - 2
Madagascar

Nyoni (2' pen.), Dismas (26'), Salum (53')
Samatta (34'), Nyoni (45')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Njiva Rakotoharimalala (36'), Fontaine (45+2')
Jacquot Manampisoa (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tanzania and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tanzania would win this match.

Result
Tanzania	Draw	Madagascar
41.18%	27.48%	31.34%

Both teams to score 48.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.05%

56.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.14%

77.86%

Tanzania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8%

27.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.39%

62.61%

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.67%

33.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.05%

69.95%

Score Analysis

Tanzania 41.18%

Madagascar 31.34%

Draw 27.47%

Tanzania	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.18%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.07% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.34%