World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round

Oct 7, 2021 at 2pm UK

Congo DR
2 - 0
Madagascar

Akolo (35'), Mbokani (80' pen.)
Mbokani (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Congo DR and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.

Result
Congo DR	Draw	Madagascar
42.69%	27.84%	29.46%

Both teams to score 46.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.12%

58.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.62%

79.38%

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71%

27.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27%

62.73%

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25%

35.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.47%

72.52%

Score Analysis

Congo DR 42.69%

Madagascar 29.46%

Draw 27.84%

Congo DR	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 12.67% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.69%	1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.76% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.84%	0-1 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2% Total : 29.46%

How you voted: Congo DR vs Madagascar

Congo DR

85.4%

Draw

14.6%

Madagascar

0.0%