World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Oct 7, 2021 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Chadrac Akolo 35' goal
  • Dieumerci Mbokani 55' yellowcard
  • Dieumerci Mbokani 80' goal

Congo DR vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo DR

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Sep 6, 2021 2.00pm
Benin 1 - 1 Congo DR

Madagascar

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Sep 7, 2021 2.00pm
Tanzania 3 - 2 Madagascar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.

Result

Congo DR 42.69%
Draw 27.84%
Madagascar 29.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.71%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.12%
Under 2.5 58.88%
Over 3.5 20.62%
Under 3.5 79.38%

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 72.71%
Under 0.5 27.29%
Over 1.5 37.27%
Under 1.5 62.73%

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 64.25%
Under 0.5 35.75%
Over 1.5 27.47%
Under 1.5 72.52%

Score analysis

Congo DR 42.69%
Draw 27.84%
Madagascar 29.46%
Congo DR
1-0 @ 12.67%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.76%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.84%
Madagascar
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 5.16%
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2%
Total : 29.46%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jul 7, 2019 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
  • Ibrahim Amada 9' goal
  • Faneva Ima Andriatsima 77' goal
  • Jeremy Morel 113' yellowcard
  • goal Cedric Bakambu 21'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Mulumbu 45'
  • goal Chancel Mbemba 90'
  • yellowcard Issama Mpeko 97'