International Friendly

May 29, 2022 at 1.08am UK

AT&T Stadium

Mexico
2 - 1
Nigeria

Gimenez (12'), Troost-Ekong (56' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dessers (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

Last Six:

Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Mexico vs. Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Nigeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Mauritius vs. Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Nigeria
46.36% ( 0.04)	28.03% ( -0.01)	25.6% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 43.85% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.67% (

0.01)

61.32% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.76% (

0.01)

81.23% (

-0.01)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

0.03)

26.52% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

0.03)

61.72% (

-0.04)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.68% (

-0.03)

40.31% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.05% (

-0.03)

76.94% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Mexico 46.36%

Nigeria 25.6%

Draw 28.03%

Mexico	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 14.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 46.36%	1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 25.6%