Mexico vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.