World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Mar 28, 2022 at 12.05am UK

Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano

Honduras
0 - 1
Mexico

Arriaga (6'), Lopez (69'), Maldonado (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alvarez (70')
Herrera (28'), Arteaga (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Honduras and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

Last Six:

Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Curacao
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Honduras vs. Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico

Last Six:

Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Mexico vs. Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Honduras win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Mexico
17.27%	24.34%	58.39%

Both teams to score 43.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.5%

56.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.51%

77.49%

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.66%

46.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.02%

81.98%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.77%

19.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.08%

50.92%

Score Analysis

Honduras 17.27%

Mexico 58.39%

Draw 24.33%

Honduras	Draw	Mexico
1-0 @ 6.85% 2-1 @ 4.35% 2-0 @ 2.64% 3-1 @ 1.11% 3-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.41% Total : 17.27%	1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.33%	0-1 @ 14.69% 0-2 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 9.32% 0-3 @ 6.66% 1-3 @ 5.12% 0-4 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.76% Total : 58.39%