World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kervin Arriaga 6' yellowcard
  • Kevin Lopez 69' yellowcard
  • Denil Maldonado 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 28'
  • yellowcard Gerardo Arteaga 65'
  • goal Edson Alvarez 70'

Honduras vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Mar 25, 2022 1.05am
Panama 1 - 1 Honduras

Mexico

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Mar 25, 2022 2.00am
Mexico 0 - 0 USA

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Honduras win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result

Honduras 17.27%
Draw 24.34%
Mexico 58.39%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.34%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.5%
Under 2.5 56.5%
Over 3.5 22.51%
Under 3.5 77.49%

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5 53.66%
Under 0.5 46.34%
Over 1.5 18.02%
Under 1.5 81.98%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 80.77%
Under 0.5 19.22%
Over 1.5 49.08%
Under 1.5 50.92%

Score analysis

Honduras 17.27%
Draw 24.33%
Mexico 58.39%
Honduras
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-1 @ 4.35%
2-0 @ 2.64%
3-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 17.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 8.91%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 24.33%
Mexico
0-1 @ 14.69%
0-2 @ 12.11%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-3 @ 6.66%
1-3 @ 5.12%
0-4 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 58.39%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 11, 2021 12.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cesar Montes 12' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Cordova 18' goal
  • Rogelio Funes Mori 76' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 86' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo Antonio Pereira Rodriguez 21'
  • yellowcard Danilo Acosta 45'+2'
  • redcard Maynor Figueroa 49'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 25, 2021 3.00am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Rogelio Funes Mori 26' goal
  • Jonathan dos Santos 31' goal
  • Orbelin Pineda 38' goal
  • Jesus Gallardo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bryan Acosta 35'
  • yellowcard Deybi Flores 58'
  • yellowcard Boniek Garcia 60'
  • yellowcard Roger Fabricio Rojas Lazo 89'
International Friendlies
Jun 13, 2021 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Edson Alvarez 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edwin Rodriguez 90'+5'
International Friendlies
Jul 2, 2015 2.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Johnny Palacios 55'
  • yellowcard Jorge Claros 89'