MX23RW : Friday, April 26 10:02:32| >> :600:16992955:16992955:
Honduras national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 28, 2022 at 12.05am UK
Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano
Mexico national football team

Honduras
0 - 1
Mexico


Arriaga (6'), Lopez (69'), Maldonado (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarez (70')
Herrera (28'), Arteaga (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Honduras and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Curacao
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Next Game: Honduras vs. Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Honduras 1-3 Mexico

Since the start of this qualifying cycle, the Mexicans have rarely looked like the giants of CONCACAF that we are used to seeing, but they face a group in Honduras who still allow their share of clear-cut scoring opportunities, which El Tri should be able to bury. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.11%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Honduras win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Mexico in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Mexico.

Result
HondurasDrawMexico
17.27%24.34%58.39%
Both teams to score 43.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.5%56.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.51%77.49%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.66%46.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.02%81.98%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77%19.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08%50.92%
Score Analysis
    Honduras 17.27%
    Mexico 58.39%
    Draw 24.33%
HondurasDrawMexico
1-0 @ 6.85%
2-1 @ 4.35%
2-0 @ 2.64%
3-1 @ 1.11%
3-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 17.27%
1-1 @ 11.29%
0-0 @ 8.91%
2-2 @ 3.58%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 14.69%
0-2 @ 12.11%
1-2 @ 9.32%
0-3 @ 6.66%
1-3 @ 5.12%
0-4 @ 2.75%
1-4 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 58.39%

How you voted: Honduras vs Mexico

Honduras
13.0%
Draw
6.5%
Mexico
80.4%
46
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2021 12am
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Cordova (18'), Funes Mori (76'), Lozano (86')
Montes (12')

Antonio Pereira Rodriguez (21'), Acosta (45+2')
Figueroa (49')
Jul 25, 2021 3am
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Funes Mori (26'), Dos Santos (31'), Pineda (38')
Gallardo (84')

Acosta (35'), Flores (58'), Garcia (60'), Fabricio Rojas Lazo (89')
Jun 13, 2021 1am
Jul 2, 2015 2.30am
rhs 2.0
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