World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Nov 13, 2021 at 1.05am UK

Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano

Honduras
2 - 3
Panama

Elis (30', 30'), Moya (59')
Elis (11'), Lozano (18'), Melendez (65'), Aurelio Lopez Fernandez (84'), Lopez (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Waterman Ruiz (77'), Yanis (81'), Davis (85')
Stephens (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Honduras and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Honduras win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Panama
36.34%	24.9%	38.76%

Both teams to score 58.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.75%

45.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.41%

67.58%

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56%

24.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.13%

58.87%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84%

23.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97%

57.03%

Score Analysis

Honduras 36.34%

Panama 38.76%

Draw 24.9%

Honduras	Draw	Panama
2-1 @ 8.22% 1-0 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.34%	1-1 @ 11.66% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9%	1-2 @ 8.53% 0-1 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.93% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.08% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.76%

How you voted: Honduras vs Panama

Honduras

30.6%

Draw

17.7%

Panama

51.6%