World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Mar 25, 2022 at 1.05am UK

Panama
1 - 1
Honduras

Blackburn (23')
Waterman Ruiz (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Josue Lopez Maldonado (65'), Lopez (65')
Arriaga (11'), Decas (44'), Sacaza (70'), Maldonado (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Panama and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

Last Six:

Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Next Game: Panama vs. Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras

Last Six:

Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Curacao
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Honduras vs. Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 53.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Panama	Draw	Honduras
53.94%	25.54%	20.52%

Both teams to score 45.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.12%

56.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.2%

77.8%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.86%

21.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.01%

53.99%

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.23%

42.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.91%

79.1%

Score Analysis

Panama 53.93%

Honduras 20.52%

Draw 25.54%

Panama	Draw	Honduras
1-0 @ 14.05% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 4.8% 4-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.14% Total : 53.93%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 9.04% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.52%