CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Jun 14, 2022 at 3am UK

Estadio Olímpico Metropolitano

Honduras
2 - 1
Canada

Lopez (13'), Arriaga (78')
Flores (58'), Quioto (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

David (86', 87')
Vitoria (5'), Johnston (31'), Hoilett (40'), David (66'), Kaye (70'), Henry (90+6'), Larin (90+5'), Borjan (90+5')
Johnston (90+4')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League A clash between Honduras and Canada.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

Last Six:

Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Curacao
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Canada

Last Six:

Last Game: Canada 4-0 Curacao
Friday, June 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Honduras win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Canada
21.28% ( 0)	25.01% ( -0.01)	53.71% ( 0)

Both teams to score 47.59% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84% (

0.03)

54.16% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.42% (

0.02)

75.57% (

-0.02)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.6% (

0.02)

40.4% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.98% (

0.02)

77.01% (

-0.02)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85% (

0.01)

20.14% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.58% (

0.02)

52.41% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Honduras 21.28%

Canada 53.7%

Draw 25%

Honduras	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.28%	1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 53.7%