World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Jan 28, 2022 at 1.05am UK

Estadio Olimpico Metropolitano

Honduras
0 - 2
Canada

Mejia (29'), Rodriguez (60'), Quaye (68'), Quaye (68')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Omar Maldonado Munguia (10' og.), Maldonado (10' og.), David (73')
Fraser (45+1'), Hutchinson (62'), Cavallini (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Honduras and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 22.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Honduras win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Canada
22.58%	27.54%	49.88%

Both teams to score 42.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.28%

61.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.47%

81.53%

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.57%

43.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.35%

79.65%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75%

25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.34%

59.66%

Score Analysis

Honduras 22.58%

Canada 49.88%

Draw 27.53%

Honduras	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 5.24% 2-0 @ 3.78% 3-1 @ 1.46% 3-0 @ 1.05% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1% Total : 22.58%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 15.05% 0-2 @ 10.43% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-3 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.67% 1-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.11% Total : 49.88%

How you voted: Honduras vs Canada

Honduras

10.5%

Draw

25.3%

Canada

64.2%