World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Mar 31, 2022 at 2.05am UK

Independence Park

Jamaica
2 - 1
Honduras

Bailey (39' pen.), Morrison (45+2')
Williams (52'), Bailey (59'), Green (64'), Bygrave (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Gabriel Tejeda Escobar (18' pen.), Tejeda (18' pen.)
Decas (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Jamaica and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

Last Six:

Last Game: Jamaica 3-1 Suriname
Wednesday, June 8 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Jamaica vs. Mexico
Wednesday, June 15 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras

Last Six:

Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Curacao
Tuesday, June 7 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Next Game: Honduras vs. Canada
Tuesday, June 14 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.

Result
Jamaica	Draw	Honduras
42.67%	27.11%	30.22%

Both teams to score 49.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.06%

55.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.96%

77.04%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06%

25.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.06%

60.94%

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.38%

33.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.73%

70.26%

Score Analysis

Jamaica 42.66%

Honduras 30.22%

Draw 27.1%

Jamaica	Draw	Honduras
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.66%	1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.72% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.22%