World Cup header WWW

World Cup

Jamaica national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Jan 28, 2022 at 12am UK
Independence Park
Mexico national football team

Jamaica
1 - 2
Mexico

Johnson (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martin (81'), Vega (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Jamaica and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
JamaicaDrawMexico
30.73%26.51%42.76%
Both teams to score 51.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02%74.98%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04%31.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59%68.41%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23%24.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66%59.34%
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 30.73%
    Mexico 42.75%
    Draw 26.51%
JamaicaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 9.03%
2-1 @ 7.19%
2-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.91%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.73%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 11.04%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-2 @ 7.71%
1-3 @ 4.09%
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.75%

How you voted: Jamaica vs Mexico

Jamaica
17.4%
Draw
19.6%
Mexico
63.0%
92