Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.