Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.