World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round

Sep 9, 2021 at 2am UK

Costa Rica
1 - 1
Jamaica

Marin (3')
Ruiz (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nicholson (47')
Burke (45+2'), Lowe (83'), Turgott (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Costa Rica and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Jamaica
42.34%	23.72%	33.94%

Both teams to score 61.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.96%

40.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.6%

62.4%

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.77%

19.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.07%

50.93%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65%

23.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69%

57.31%

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 42.34%

Jamaica 33.94%

Draw 23.71%

Costa Rica	Draw	Jamaica
2-1 @ 8.88% 1-0 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.32% Total : 42.34%	1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 6.46% 0-0 @ 4.49% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 7.83% 0-1 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.94%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Jamaica

Costa Rica

65.6%

Draw

23.0%

Jamaica

11.5%