World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ricardo Pepi 49' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 62' goal
  • yellowcard Kemar Lawrence 1'
  • yellowcard Jamal Lowe 34'

USA vs Jamaica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Sep 9, 2021 3.30am
Honduras 1 - 4 USA

Jamaica

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Sep 9, 2021 2.00am
Costa Rica 1 - 1 Jamaica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result

USA 54.85%
Draw 25.41%
Jamaica 19.74%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.41%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.74%
Under 2.5 57.26%
Over 3.5 21.9%
Under 3.5 78.1%

USA Goals

Over 0.5 79.09%
Under 0.5 20.91%
Over 1.5 46.36%
Under 1.5 53.64%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 56.15%
Under 0.5 43.85%
Over 1.5 20%
Under 1.5 80%

Score analysis

USA 54.85%
Draw 25.41%
Jamaica 19.74%
USA
1-0 @ 14.35%
2-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 4.83%
4-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.41%
Jamaica
0-1 @ 7.56%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.74%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 26, 2021 2.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AT&T Stadium
  • Matthew Hoppe 83' goal
  • yellowcard Cory Burke 30'
  • yellowcard Blair Turgott 50'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 89'
International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2021 5.20pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Wiener Neustadter Stadion
  • Sergino Dest 34' goal
  • Reggie Cannon 48' yellowcard
  • Brenden Aaronson 53' goal
  • Sebastian Lletget 83' goal
  • Sebastian Lletget 90' goal
  • goal Jamal Lowe 71'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 4, 2019 2.00am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Nissan Stadium
  • Je-Vaughn Watson 39' yellowcard
  • Junior Flemmings 43' yellowcard
  • Peter-Lee Vassell 49' yellowcard
  • Shamar Nicholson 69' goal
  • goal Weston McKennie 9'
  • yellowcard Weston McKennie 31'
  • yellowcard Jozy Altidore 43'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 52'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 87'
International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2019 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
  • goal Shamar Nicholson 60'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 22, 2015 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Georgia Dome, Atlanta
  • Michael Bradley 48' goal
  • DeAndre Yedlin 89' yellowcard
  • goal Darren Mattocks 31'
  • goal Giles Barnes 35'