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USA national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 12.30am UK
 
Jamaica national football team

USA
2 - 0
Jamaica

Pepi (49', 62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lawrence (1'), Lowe (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between USA and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawJamaica
54.85%25.41%19.74%
Both teams to score 44.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.74%57.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.9%78.1%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09%20.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36%53.64%
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.15%43.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20%80%
Score Analysis
    USA 54.85%
    Jamaica 19.74%
    Draw 25.41%
USADrawJamaica
1-0 @ 14.35%
2-0 @ 11.22%
2-1 @ 9.26%
3-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 4.83%
4-0 @ 2.29%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.85%
1-1 @ 11.83%
0-0 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.56%
1-2 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.74%

How you voted: USA vs Jamaica

USA
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Jamaica
9.5%
84
rhs 2.0


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