World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Sep 6, 2021 at 1am UK
USA1 - 1Canada
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Canada had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Canada |
| 50.89% | 24.01% | 25.09% |
| Both teams to score 55.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
