World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 6, 2021 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Theoson Siebatcheu 29' yellowcard
  • John Brooks 32' yellowcard
  • Brenden Aaronson 55' goal
  • Tyler Adams 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 28'
  • goal Cyle Larin 62'
  • yellowcard Mark-Anthony Kaye 68'

USA vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Sep 3, 2021 3.05am
El Salvador 0 - 0 USA

Canada

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Last game
Sep 3, 2021 1.05am
Canada 1 - 1 Honduras

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Canada had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

USA 50.89%
Draw 24.01%
Canada 25.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.06%

Goals

Over 2.5 53.51%
Under 2.5 46.49%
Over 3.5 31.23%
Under 3.5 68.77%

USA Goals

Over 0.5 81.71%
Under 0.5 18.29%
Over 1.5 50.64%
Under 1.5 49.36%

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 67.38%
Under 0.5 32.61%
Over 1.5 30.84%
Under 1.5 69.16%

Score analysis

USA 50.89%
Draw 24.01%
Canada 25.09%
USA
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.61%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 50.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.01%
Canada
0-1 @ 6.68%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 25.09%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 18, 2021 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shaquell Moore 1' goal