Costa Rica national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 26, 2021 at 12am UK
AT&T Stadium
Canada national football team

Costa Rica
0 - 2
Canada

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hoilett (18'), Eustaquio (69')
Vitoria (31'), Cavallini (38'), Akindele (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Costa Rica and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Canada had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Costa RicaDrawCanada
39.9%25.05%35.05%
Both teams to score 57.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92%46.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62%68.38%
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05%22.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28%56.72%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45%25.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58%60.42%
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 39.9%
    Canada 35.05%
    Draw 25.05%
Costa RicaDrawCanada
2-1 @ 8.67%
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.9%
1-1 @ 11.77%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.05%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-1 @ 8%
0-2 @ 5.46%
1-3 @ 3.65%
2-3 @ 2.69%
0-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.05%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Canada

Costa Rica
42.5%
Canada
57.5%
73