MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 08:51:38| >> :60:752:752:
Mexico national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Semi-Finals
Jul 30, 2021 at 3am UK
NRG Stadium
Canada national football team

Mexico
2 - 1
Canada

Pineda (45+2' pen.), Herrera (90+9')
Gutierrez (68'), Gallardo (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buchanan (57')
Henry (45'), Buchanan (49'), Hoilett (49'), Crepeau (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Mexico and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 57.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Canada had a probability of 19.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawCanada
57.51%23.39%19.11%
Both teams to score 49.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.51%50.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.58%72.42%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68%17.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.32%47.69%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.38%40.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.78%77.22%
Score Analysis
    Mexico 57.5%
    Canada 19.11%
    Draw 23.39%
MexicoDrawCanada
1-0 @ 12.33%
2-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.74%
3-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 5.69%
4-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-2 @ 1.12%
5-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 57.5%
1-1 @ 11.11%
0-0 @ 7.04%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.39%
0-1 @ 6.34%
1-2 @ 5.01%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.5%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 19.11%

Head to Head
Jun 20, 2019 3.30am
Group Stage
Mexico
3-1
Canada
Alvarado (40'), Guardado (54', 77')
Cavallini (75')
Kaye (79')
rhs 2.0
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