Haiti national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 16, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Children's Mercy Park
Canada national football team

Haiti
1 - 4
Canada

Lambese (56')
Pierre (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eustaquio (5'), Larin (51', 74' pen.), Hoilett (79' pen.)
Eustaquio (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Haiti and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Canada had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Canada win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
HaitiDrawCanada
44.21%25.69%30.09%
Both teams to score 53.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.62%50.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68%72.32%
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28%22.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61%56.38%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17%30.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89%67.11%
Score Analysis
    Haiti 44.2%
    Canada 30.09%
    Draw 25.69%
HaitiDrawCanada
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 7.69%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 30.09%

How you voted: Haiti vs Canada

Haiti
17.0%
Draw
8.0%
Canada
75.0%
100
rhs 2.0


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