Guatemala
0 - 3
Mexico

Santis (20'), Betancourth (36')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Funes Mori (29', 55'), Pineda (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Guatemala and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 39%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Mexico
39%	24.32%	36.68%

Both teams to score 60.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.53%

42.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.12%

64.88%

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19%

21.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.98%

55.02%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01%

22.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.21%

56.78%

Score Analysis

Guatemala 39%

Mexico 36.68%

Draw 24.32%

Guatemala	Draw	Mexico
2-1 @ 8.55% 1-0 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.54% Total : 39%	1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 8.25% 0-1 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 4.04% 2-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.68%