Guatemala vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 39%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 36.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.