Mexico
1 - 0
El Salvador

Rodriguez (26')
Rodriguez (70'), Salcedo (70'), Pulido (78'), Herrera (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ceren (2'), Orellana (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Mexico and El Salvador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	El Salvador
58.47%	22.55%	18.98%

Both teams to score 51.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.77%

47.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.54%

69.46%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.16%

15.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.98%

45.02%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.13%

38.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.4%

75.6%

Score Analysis

Mexico 58.47%

El Salvador 18.98%

Draw 22.54%

Mexico	Draw	El Salvador
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.42% 3-1 @ 6.07% 4-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.25% Total : 58.47%	1-1 @ 10.71% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.54%	0-1 @ 5.82% 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.98%