CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 19, 2021 3.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Rodriguez 26' goal
  • Luis Rodriguez 70' yellowcard
  • Carlos Salcedo 70' yellowcard
  • Alan Pulido 78' yellowcard
  • Hector Herrera 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Darwin Ceren 2'
  • yellowcard Narciso Orellana 63'

Mexico vs El Salvador - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jul 15, 2021 2.30am
Guatemala 0 - 3 Mexico

El Salvador

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jul 15, 2021 12.30am
Trin. & Tob. 0 - 2 El Salvador

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result

Mexico 58.47%
Draw 22.55%
El Salvador 18.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.45%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.77%
Under 2.5 47.23%
Over 3.5 30.54%
Under 3.5 69.46%

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 84.16%
Under 0.5 15.83%
Over 1.5 54.98%
Under 1.5 45.02%

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 61.13%
Under 0.5 38.87%
Over 1.5 24.4%
Under 1.5 75.6%

Score analysis

Mexico 58.47%
Draw 22.54%
El Salvador 18.98%
Mexico
1-0 @ 11.34%
2-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.88%
3-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 6.07%
4-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.87%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-2 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.09%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 58.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 22.54%
El Salvador
0-1 @ 5.82%
1-2 @ 5.07%
0-2 @ 2.75%
1-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 18.98%